Monday, 12 October 2015

重磅突发:七万亿来了 中国式量化宽松来啦!

自存贷比取消的消息还未落地开始,业内许多人就开始预言,将释放约7万亿信贷资金。如今,存贷比真的取消了,7万亿信贷资金如约而至,人民币贬值近2%,你的钱就这样被“偷走”了。
实际上这不算周末最重大的事,最重大的事情是推广信贷资产质押再贷款,这才是真正的投放基础货币,是中国式的QE来了!
央行10月10日发布消息,为贯彻落实国务院关于加大改革创新和支持实体经济力度的精神,按照2015年人民银行工作会议要求,人民银行在前期山东、广东开展信贷资产质押再贷款试点形成可复制经验的基础上,决定在上海、天津、辽宁、江苏、湖北、四川、陕西、北京、重庆等9省(市)推广试点。
所谓信贷资产质押再贷款,指的是银行可以用现有的信贷资产(也就是已经放出去的贷款),到央行去质押,获得新的资金。
类似于美国Q3的一种操作方法。很简单,商业银行贷款后,把借条给央行,央行闭着眼收购这些借条,商业银行手里就会有无穷无尽现金。当然,央行可以设立个内部指标,控制放水节奏。high,老是搞些遮遮掩掩的动作,没啥意思的,不能改变局面。
你们有没有发现,每次中国经济一出问题,央行就开始说英文?中国式QE、逆回购RR、短期流动性调节SLO、常备借贷便利SLF、抵押补充贷款PSL、中期借贷便利MLF、抵押支持证券MBS、降息降准,包括这次的信贷资产质押再贷款……全出来了。
主要是小川喜欢用一帮从美国回来的经济学者闹得!这个习惯从任建行行长时就已经开始了,延伸到证监会,现在轮到央行了。
你们要是不知道它在说什么,就只能风中凌乱了。其实所有这些英文翻译成中文,就简单两个字——撒钱!
也有金融业内人士解读,信贷资产质押再贷款本质上就是信贷加杠杆!属于“债务抵押次级贷”:先贷一百万,抵押后可以再贷一百万!更或者说,“之前借的一百万还不上了?没关系!这个欠债可以抵押给央行,让央行印钞机开动,然后再借你100万(当然肯定要打个折)!”难怪有网友评论:“已贷解贷,贷中贷,贷贷相传,绵绵不绝……”
券商比较谨慎的发表评论“中国式微刺激再现。”
民生证券固收分析师李奇霖对此发布研报称,央行推广信贷资产质押再贷款试点是中国式微刺激再现,总量上是为对冲地产和传统经济下行压力,结构上是为经济转型,即通过设定不同信贷资产折扣率,比如将符合经济转型要求的小微和三农信贷资产设置更高的折价率,折价率越高的信贷资产可获得更多的基础货币,为金融机构向小微三农贷款提供正向激励。
三季度的统计数据还没有公布,但经济数据的不景气令三季度GDP增速蒙上阴影,近25年来或首次低于7%。10月8日,瑞银发布最新研报认为,预计即将公布的三季度GDP或将下滑至6.6%.
各种救市措施不见效果情况下,这将倒逼中央出招, 类似08年的温式刺激卷土重来。用新一轮货币大放水来延缓“房地产+地方债+企业破产”危机,是不得以而为之的“托底”之举。
减税只能做做样子。现行体制下,当经济衰退时,税收负担只能加重(预征、查税等大量出现),不可能减轻,因为庞大的政体消耗无法降下来,减税没有任何操作空间。
这样就剩下一条路:“放水”!当然,“放水”有多种方式,也一直在放,但仍然不行,也只有加大阀门,或多开阀门了!毫无疑问本届政府不喜欢直接、连续降准,因为舆论压力太大,很多人会批评中央政府“又回到2009年救市老路上”了。
小编认为,这信贷资产质押再贷款政策已经不是微刺激层面的措施,结合着其他财政政策和货币政策的内容与力度,这是迫于某些原因而无法公布的强刺激方案(尚未稳定、完善)中的一味重药——中央政府已经知道,如不采取有效措施,对冲地产和传统经济下行压力,保增长已经成为不可能实现的目标了。
但如果过度激励银行投放到风险溢价较高的资产,可能会产生坏账风险,银行就是不良资产,央行最后买单,也就是以前等于剥离商业银行不良资产一样。商业银行拿到的资金最终还是像以前一样,实业拿不到贷款,都会跑到股市楼市.
很多网友看此次政策好像很眼熟:这不就是把老百姓的房贷包装成金融产品再出售么?引发07/08金融危机的不就是这个么?次贷危机发生后,奥巴马当年为了实施QE,几乎在国会下跪求情,才得以通过,大家可以去看看当年奥巴马单膝下跪的照片。
至于这个政策对老百姓的影响,某种程度是利好楼市和股市!A股“爱在深秋”的中线反弹,或许真要来了!

看完这个,终于重新认识了什么叫赚钱!

中国最顶级的互联网公司BAT三大家的年收入情况~是个什么概念呢

想象一下腾讯的收入就是7个这么大的钱堆放在一起吧~~~~BAT三大家的年收入已经是神级了~3家个公司的ceo也都是全球华人富豪榜的前十了~

这次,我们可不是给苹果做广告哈~~
我们的BAT三大家拿出年营收
都赶不上苹果的一个产品线半个月~
那么如果苹果公司所有产品线一年收入加在一起呢?
一年啊,太可怕了~
我搜索了一下苹果2015仅仅半年的营收,
已经瞎了!!

我啥都说不出话了~

在这715亿里面,你贡献了多少?

Friday, 9 October 2015

Oil price Gains this week could prove little more than a 'dead cat bounce'

The oil price has rallied this week, rising above a key threshold yesterday as the dollar fell, effectively making the commodity cheaper for many international buyers.

But many experts continue to assert that the fundamental supply and demand picture is not conducive to sustained higher prices. There are predictions the recovery in recent sessions will prove to be a "dead cat bounce" and that there is still "bottom-fishing left" before a floor is found.

The Wall Street Journal notes US benchmark West Texas Intermediate rose above $50 a barrel for the first time since July on Thursday, while its international counterpart Brent crude settled in European trading at above $53.

After a minor dip in Asia overnight, both are back above these levels on Friday morning. The Journal says the rises reflect "expectations of falling production and growing global demand".

A surge towards the end of Thursday trading in New York was also driven by the release of dovish minutes from the latest Federal Reserve rate-setting meeting, which some took as a sign rates will be held for longer – and that prompted a fall in the dollar.

But many remain unconvinced oversupply is easing enough to support a prolonged upward shift.

Official data published on Wednesday revealed US reserves and production unexpectedly rose last week, while supplies are still thought to be outstripping global demand by one million barrels a day.

"We expect this rally to reverse and reiterate our forecast for lower prices for longer," Goldman Sachs, one of the most bearish forecasters, wrote in a note to clients.

Warren Gilman, chairman and chief executive of CEF Holdings told CNBC that any rise above $50 by WTI will be "short-lived" and that the next "down leg" could see a further fall than the last.

This would effectively repeat the pattern of this year, when Brent bottomed out at $45 a barrel in January before recovering around $20 over the subsequent five months.

The downturn set in again in June and the benchmark eventually hit a new six-year low of $42 a barrel.

"We still have a problem of growing supply and, in order to cut that, we need prices to fall further," said Gilman.

Thursday, 8 October 2015

GSM band for cellphone to call in different continent

GSM is the technology wireless phones use throughout Europe, the middle East, Asia, Africa, and is recently becoming more popular in the US and Canada.  GSM stands for Global Systems for Mobile Communication.
There are three important things to look for when choosing a cell phone if you expect it to work in most places around the world:
  1. GSM phone... and particularly:
  2. A Triband (or Quad-band) GSM phone... and particularly:
  3. An Unlocked Triband GSM phone.
GSM phone is a phone that works on the GSM wireless system mentioned above.  This is the most prevalent wireless system worldwide.  A few years ago, a GSM phone would not have worked in the USA since there was no GSM network to support it.  Now, there are a few US carriers supporting GSM systems.  
Even though GSM is supported today in the USA, the band used is different from that of Europe or the Middle East for example.  This means a strictly US GSM phone will still not work in Europe and a strictly European GSM phone will not work in the USA.  Below is a list of the bands used worldwide:
 AreaBand
USA/Canada1900 (primary)/850
Europe900/1800
Middle East900/1800
Africa900/1800
Asia900/1800
Australia/New Zealand900/1800
Caribbean850/900
Most USA carriers offering GSM will provide a 1900 MHz GSM phone.  As you can see, it is not compatible with most other places in the world and will not work.  There are many GSM phones that have Triband technology where it offers the most popular 1900 and 900/1800 MHz bands.  This will cover most places in the world.  We offer Triband GSM phones right here atInTouch Smartcards.
After you make sure that you have a Triband GSM phone, you need to know if the phone is locked.   If you buy a phone from your carrier or receive free because you signed up for a long term contract, chances are it is locked.  This means that you can only use your carrier's service (SIM card) in that phone.  This also applies to phones that you buy from people who got their phones from carriers where those phones were locked.
Having an unlocked phone gives you the flexibility to use another carrier's services, namely the carrier of whatever SIM card you put in your Unlocked GSM phone.  For example, using a local SIM card from France gives you the local wireless service in France which tends to save money and eliminate roaming and long distance charges.
If your phone is unlocked and has the necessary bands, it means that you can use it with any GSM network throughout the Middle East, Asia, Africa, Europe, and North America.  If you have aTriband GSM phone, you can access service in  over 150 countries by simply obtaining the proper SIM card.


All cell phones available at InTouch Smartcards are Unlocked GSM phones.  All phones offered on this website are unlocked and can be used by simply inserting a SIM card.


 3G 850/1900 frequencies to work on Koodo's network.
 for the areas that have 4G LTE those frequencies are 1700/2100

Oil price trend 'impossible to pin down'

A trend in oil prices is currently proving difficult - and perhaps even "impossible" - to pin down.

The Wall Street Journal says that key benchmarks "retreated" from one-month highs today, after the latest report from the US energy watchdog revealed crude oil supplies in the US hit a record high and production unexpectedly increased.

Energy Information Administration data showed "total commercial supplies of crude oil and petroleum products rose by 2.3 million barrels last week to 1.3 billion barrels, a record high in data going back to 1990".

US shale production, which has been falling from highs reached in the spring, also jumped from nine million barrels a day to 9.2 million barrels, bucking a recent downward trend that had given hope a supply glut was softening.

Brent, the global benchmark, fell 1.1 per cent to $51.33 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange, while the US benchmark, West Texas Intermediate, fell 1.5 per cent to $47.81 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The Journal notes that a surge in oil prices so far in October has been driven by statistics showing falling production and steady drawdown on US supplies, with forecasts on Tuesday suggesting this pattern had continued last week.

That official figures now show otherwise emphasises the "conflicting" picture in different bodies' projections that is making reliable trends  "difficult - or sometimes impossible - to pin down".

FastFT adds that oil was heading up modestly again on Thursday morning in Europe - Brent edged up to $51.90 - despite there being "little in the way of concrete news to shape the price so far".

It says the call by some traders that the rise in recent weeks shows we have hit a "bottom" in prices could be premature, saying "those of a more bearish disposition will point out that calling the bottom has proved a treacherous exercise this year".

Even if oil does now have a floor, it will need to record a substantial rise before prices hit a level that alleviates the pain on producers, many of whom are currently making losses on output.